SARS: With Hong Kong & WHO charts 4/19

per loin

[per loin]

<p>

Hong Kong: Hospitalized SARS (Chicom-Flu) Cases																								Chart by per loin perloin@email.com
Time			Cases				Increase			Disposition														Dead as % of prior time
Day	Date		Day	Week	Total		Day	Week		Got well			Dead			Total Gone			In Hospital			Hosp Days		Week	2 Week	3 Week	Of Gone
										Day	Total	%	Day	Total	%	Day	Total	%	Day	Total	%
Wed	03/12		10		10														10	10	100.0%	10
Thu	03/13		14		24		140.0%												14	24	100.0%	34
Fri	03/14		5		29		20.8%												5	29	100.0%	63
Sat	03/15		8		37		27.6%												8	37	100.0%	100
Sun	03/16		5		42		13.5%												5	42	100.0%	142
Mon	03/17		53		95		126.2%												53	95	100.0%	237
Tue	03/18		28	123	123		29.5%												28	123	100.0%	360
Wed	03/19		27	140	150		22.0%	1400.0%		5	5	3.3%	5	5	3.3%	10	10	6.7%	17	140	93.3%	500		50.0%			50.0%
Thu	03/20		23	149	173		15.3%	620.8%		0	5	2.9%	1	6	3.5%	1	11	6.4%	22	162	93.6%	662		25.0%			54.5%
Fri	03/21		30	174	203		17.3%	600.0%		2	7	3.4%	0	6	3.0%	2	13	6.4%	28	190	93.6%	852		20.7%			46.2%
Sat	03/22		19	185	222		9.4%	500.0%		0	7	3.2%	2	8	3.6%	2	15	6.8%	17	207	93.2%	1,059		21.6%			53.3%
Sun	03/23		25	205	247		11.3%	488.1%		0	7	2.8%	2	10	4.0%	2	17	6.9%	23	230	93.1%	1,289		23.8%			58.8%
Mon	03/24		13	165	260		5.3%	173.7%		5	12	4.6%	0	10	3.8%	5	22	8.5%	8	238	91.5%	1,527		10.5%			45.5%
Tue	03/25		26	163	286		10.0%	132.5%		2	14	4.9%	0	10	3.5%	2	24	8.4%	24	262	91.6%	1,789		8.1%			41.7%
Wed	03/26		30	166	316		10.5%	110.7%		2	16	5.1%	0	10	3.2%	2	26	8.2%	28	290	91.8%	2,079		6.7%	100.0%		38.5%
Thu	03/27		51	194	367		16.1%	112.1%		3	19	5.2%	0	10	2.7%	3	29	7.9%	48	338	92.1%	2,417		5.8%	41.7%		34.5%
Fri	03/28		58	222	425		15.8%	109.4%		6	25	5.9%	1	11	2.6%	7	36	8.5%	51	389	91.5%	2,806		5.4%	37.9%		30.6%
Sat	03/29		45	248	470		10.6%	111.7%		18	43	9.1%	1	12	2.6%	19	55	11.7%	26	415	88.3%	3,221		5.4%	32.4%		21.8%
Sun	03/30		60	283	530		12.8%	114.6%		21	64	12.1%	1	13	2.5%	22	77	14.5%	38	453	85.5%	3,674		5.3%	31.0%		16.9%
Mon	03/31		80	350	610		15.1%	134.6%		15	79	13.0%	2	15	2.5%	17	94	15.4%	63	516	84.6%	4,190		5.8%	15.8%		16.0%
Tue	04/1		75	399	685		12.3%	139.5%		5	84	12.3%	1	16	2.3%	6	100	14.6%	69	585	85.4%	4,775		5.6%	13.0%		16.0%
Wed	04/2		23	392	708		3.4%	124.1%		5	89	12.6%	0	16	2.3%	5	105	14.8%	18	603	85.2%	5,378		5.1%	10.7%	160.0%	15.2%
Thu	04/3		26	367	734		3.7%	100.0%		9	98	13.4%	1	17	2.3%	10	115	15.7%	16	619	84.3%	5,997		4.6%	9.8%	70.8%	14.8%
Fri	04/4		27	336	761		3.7%	79.1%		1	99	13.0%	0	17	2.2%	1	116	15.2%	26	645	84.8%	6,642		4.0%	8.4%	58.6%	14.7%
Sat	04/5		39	330	800		5.1%	70.2%		8	107	13.4%	3	20	2.5%	11	127	15.9%	28	673	84.1%	7,315		4.3%	9.0%	54.1%	15.7%
Sun	04/6		42	312	842		5.3%	58.9%		9	116	13.8%	2	22	2.6%	11	138	16.4%	31	704	83.6%	8,019		4.2%	8.9%	52.4%	15.9%
Mon	04/7		41	273	883		4.9%	44.8%		11	127	14.4%	1	23	2.6%	12	150	17.0%	29	733	83.0%	8,752		3.8%	8.8%	24.2%	15.3%
Tue	04/8		45	243	928		5.1%	35.5%		11	138	14.9%	2	25	2.7%	13	163	17.6%	32	765	82.4%	9,517		3.6%	8.7%	20.3%	15.3%
Wed	04/9		42	262	970		4.5%	37.0%		4	142	14.6%	2	27	2.8%	6	169	17.4%	36	801	82.6%	10,318		3.8%	8.5%	18.0%	16.0%
Thu	04/10		28	264	998		2.9%	36.0%		12	154	15.4%	3	30	3.0%	15	184	18.4%	13	814	81.6%	11,132		4.1%	8.2%	17.3%	16.3%
Fri	04/11		61	298	1,059		6.1%	39.2%		15	169	16.0%	2	32	3.0%	17	201	19.0%	44	858	81.0%	11,990		4.2%	7.5%	15.8%	15.9%
Sat	04/12		49	308	1,108		4.6%	38.5%		46	215	19.4%	3	35	3.2%	49	250	22.6%	0	858	77.4%	12,848		4.4%	7.4%	15.8%	14.0%
Sun	04/13		42	308	1,150		3.8%	36.6%		8	223	19.4%	5	40	3.5%	13	263	22.9%	29	887	77.1%	13,735		4.8%	7.5%	16.2%	15.2%
Mon	04/14		40	307	1,190		3.5%	34.8%		6	229	19.2%	7	47	3.9%	13	276	23.2%	27	914	76.8%	14,649		5.3%	7.7%	18.1%	17.0%
Tue	04/15		42	304	1,232		3.5%	32.8%		14	243	19.7%	9	56	4.5%	23	299	24.3%	19	933	75.7%	15,582		6.0%	8.2%	19.6%	18.7%
Wed	04/16		36	298	1,268		2.9%	30.7%		14	257	20.3%	5	61	4.8%	19	318	25.1%	17	950	74.9%	16,532		6.3%	8.6%	19.3%	19.2%
Thu	04/17		29	299	1,297		2.3%	30.0%		15	272	21.0%	4	65	5.0%	19	337	26.0%	10	960	74.0%	17,492		6.5%	8.9%	17.7%	19.3%
Fri	04/18		30	268	1,327		2.3%	25.3%		50	322	24.3%	4	69	5.2%	54	391	29.5%	-24	936	70.5%	18,428		6.5%	9.1%	16.2%	17.6%
Sat	04/19		31	250	1,358		2.3%	22.6%		41	363	26.7%	12	81	6.0%	53	444	32.7%	-22	914	67.3%	19,342		7.3%	10.1%	17.2%	18.2%
Averages			35	260			16.1%	175.7%		11		12.5%	2		3.3%	14		15.8%	23		87.1%			9.0%	17.1%	35.1%	25.6%
										Day	Total	%	Day	Total	%	Day	Total	%	Day	Total	%
Day	Date		Day	Week	Total		Day	Week		Got well			Dead			Total Gone			In Hospital			Hosp Days		Week	2 Week	3 Week	Of Gone
Time			Cases				Increase			Disposition														Dead as % of prior time

[per loin]

	World SARS Cases (per WHO 4/18/03)
#	Country	Cases	Dead	%	Got Well	%	Sick	%	Local
1	Australia	3	0	0.0%	3	100.0%	0	0.0%
2	Brazil	2	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	2	100.0%
3	Canada	126	12	9.5%	46	36.5%	68	54.0%	Yes
4	China	1482	65	4.4%	1126	76.0%	291	19.6%	Yes
5	China-HK	1327	69	5.2%	322	24.3%	936	70.5%	Yes
6	China-Taiwan	29	0	0.0%	11	37.9%	18	62.1%	Yes
7	France	5	0	0.0%	1	20.0%	4	80.0%
8	Germany	6	0	0.0%	4	66.7%	2	33.3%
9	India	1	0	0.0%	1	100.0%	0	0.0%
10	Indonesia	1	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	1	100.0%
11	Italy	3	0	0.0%	2	66.7%	1	33.3%
12	Japan	4	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	4	100.0%
13	Kuwait	1	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	1	100.0%
14	Malaysia	5	1	20.0%	0	0.0%	4	80.0%
15	Mongolia	3	0	0.0%	3	100.0%	0	0.0%
16	Phillipines	1	0	0.0%	1	100.0%	0	0.0%
17	Rep of Ireland	1	0	0.0%	1	100.0%	0	0.0%
18	Romania	1	0	0.0%	1	100.0%	0	0.0%
19	Singapore	172	16	9.3%	91	52.9%	65	37.8%	Yes
20	South Africa	1	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	1	100.0%
21	Spain	1	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	1	100.0%
22	Sweden	1	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	1	100.0%
23	Switzerland	1	0	0.0%	1	100.0%	0	0.0%
24	Thailand	7	2	28.6%	6	85.7%	-1	-14.3%
25	United kingdom	6	0	0.0%	5	83.3%	1	16.7%	Yes
26	United States	208	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	208	100.0%	Yes
27	Viet nam	63	5	7.9%	46	73.0%	12	19.0%	Yes
	Totals	3461	170	4.9%	1671	48.3%	1620	46.8%

[aristeides]

Isn't that U.S. figure of 208 for suspected cases under the old parameters? Is it really true that none of them has recovered?

[CathyRyan]

Thank You! :)

[aristeides]

This story reports an apparent recovery: In N.Va., A Perilous Medical Journey Training and Luck Helped Stop Virus . And it sounds as if this victim, like the man in Goa, was not contagious.

[Davis]

Postwar SARS Here

[aristeides]

Here's a new article about the Goa case: India's first SARS case is baffling, says expert.

[aristeides]

SARS may soon run amok: Toronto case stirs docs' fears .

[per loin]

The US is reporting 38 probable, but WHO is still carrying the 208 number, as of yesterday. If we use the US figure, and put in today's Hong Kong figures, the death rate worldwide is 5.5%, at this time.

[Dog Gone]

I don't like the fact that the Toronto strain of SARS is far more deadly than the Asian strain. It's not that far to Buffalo, New York from there.

[aristeides]

It's possible that the death rate in Canada is higher because we're getting inaccurate figures from Hong Kong and China.

SARS now a threat to young: MD: As the virus mutates, it appears to be gaining potency, specialists note.

[aristeides]

Local SARS alert escalates: Ill travellers from Toronto will be subject to isolation.

[Dog Gone]

Nobody trusts the numbers from China, although Hong Kong has been very aggressive in how they've handled this.

But there's no reason to doubt the numbers from Singapore. It seems as if Canada has the worst strain we've seen so far.

[CathyRyan]

Could they be keeping people of life support longer? Could a cultural thing be going on here? Anyone have a guess?

[Dog Gone]

Check that. It appears that Singapore has it as bad as Canada.

[aristeides]

Insurance firms may refuse cover to SARS-infected countries.

[per loin]

From the Hindustan Times:

Saudi Arabian Airlines on Tuesday indefinitely suspended flights to Singapore over fears of the spread of SARS.

The kingdom last Sunday barred entry to nationals of China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore and Vietnam.

[aristeides]

Not Canada, I notice.

[R W Reactionairy]

"I don't like the fact that the Toronto strain of SARS is far more deadly than the Asian strain. It's not that far to Buffalo, New York from there."

True. It's only 88 miles to Niagra Falls and 21 more from Niagra Falls to Buffalo per my road atlas. I looked this up / posted this yesterday when someone on another thread was taking solice in the fact that Toronto was isolated from other population centers within Canada.

[CathyRyan]

If anyone is interested there is a photo gallery at the web site below that has pictures of life with sars and even a picture of Dr. Urbani.

http://www.sunspot.net/news/health/sns-sars-pix,0,7766603.photogallery?coll=bal%2Dhealth%2Dheadlines&index=15